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Robert Wright's Nonzero
Predicting the Past (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)
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Predicting the Past (Robert Wright & Paul Bloom)

This episode includes an Overtime segment that’s available to paid subscribers. If you’re not a paid subscriber, we of course encourage you to become one. If you are a paid subscriber, you can access the complete conversation either via the audio and video on this post or by setting up the paid-subscriber podcast feed, which includes all exclusive audio content. To set that up, simply grab the RSS feed from this page (by first clicking the “...” icon on the audio player) and paste it into your favorite podcast app.

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0:00 Bob and Paul’s time-warping podcast experiment
3:10 Does thinking in bets better your thinking?
9:14 Past prediction 1: Will the presidential race tighten up?
16:46 J.D. Vance memes of yester-month
22:17 Past prediction 2: Who will Kamala pick for VP?
28:28 When reality gets weird
39:02 Heading to Overtime

Robert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True) and Paul Bloom (https://smallpotatoes.paulbloom.net, University of Toronto, The Sweet Spot, Against Empathy). Recorded July 26, 2024.

Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods

Paul’s Substack:

Overtime titles:

0:00 Are any of the Trump shooting conspiracy theories worth pondering?
2:17 Truman Show and tell
26:02 Wish fulfillment vs narcissism
36:37 Louis C.K. and other (kind of) cancellations

This post is for paid subscribers

Nonzero Newsletter
Robert Wright's Nonzero
Conversations with a series of people who have nothing in common except that program host Robert Wright is curious about what they’re thinking.